4
The loss guarantee significantly reduces the credit risk and
hence the loan losses at Nordea Kredit.
Assets held temporarily decreased and consisted of 3 (4)
repossessed properties by the end of 2025 with a carrying
amount of DKK 2m (DKK 1m).
Debt
Debt to credit institutions and central banks, mainly consisting
of short-term funding from Nordea Bank and senior non-
preferred loans, amounted to DKK 16bn (DKK 9bn).
Bonds in issue at fair value totalled DKK 398bn (DKK 401bn)
after offsetting the portfolio of own bonds of DKK 25bn
(DKK 5bn). Bonds in issue at fair value decreased as the
increase in bonds in issue at nominal value was offset by the
increase in the portfolio of own bonds.
Equity
Shareholders’ equity amounted to DKK 23bn (DKK 22bn) at
the end of 2025.
It is proposed to distribute the net profit of DKK 1,483m as
dividend to the parent company Nordea Bank Abp. The
proposed dividend payment is equivalent to DKK 86 (DKK 62)
per share.
Capital adequacy
At year-end the risk exposure amount (REA) of Nordea Kredit
was up by 4% to DKK 105bn (DKK 101bn). The common
equity tier 1 (CET1) ratio decreased to 19.2% (20.1%) due to
the increase in REA. The total capital ratio decreased to
20.6% (21.6%) at end-2025 affected by increased REA. The
increase in REA was mainly driven by increased operational
risk REA due to the implementation of Basel IV on 1 January
2025 and additional risk exposure amount due to art. 3 in
Capital Requirements Regulation (CRR). The increase in REA
was partly offset by a decrease in credit risk REA.
At year-end 2025 the leverage ratio was unchanged at 4.6%
(4.6%), thus meeting the minimum requirement of 3%.
Debt buffer
The debt buffer requirement was DKK 7.9bn at end-2025
(DKK 7.8bn). Nordea Kredit met the debt buffer requirement
with excess CET1 capital, tier 2 capital and unsecured senior
debt.
Individual solvency needs
Under Danish legislation Nordea Kredit must publish its
adequate capital base as well as its individual solvency need
on a semi-annual basis. Information about individual solvency
needs is available on
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The property market
The economy
The global economy proved resilient in 2025 despite
heightened geopolitical uncertainty and concerns about a
sharper slowdown following higher trade barriers. Economic
activity was supported by strong investments, notably within
technology and AI, as well as broadly supportive fiscal and
monetary policies. These factors are expected to continue to
underpin global growth in 2026. Nordea forecasts global GDP
growth of above 3% in both 2026 and 2027, broadly in line
with the estimated growth rate in 2025.
The outlook is, however, subject to elevated uncertainty.
Shifts in the global geopolitical landscape and changes to
international trade policies pose downside risks to global
growth through their potential impact on trade flows,
investment decisions and confidence.
The Danish economy enters this period from a position of
strength. Employment remains at a historically high level,
public finances are solid and household finances are robust.
Based on current national accounts data, we estimate that
Danish GDP grew by 2.8% in 2025. We expect economic
activity to remain strong in 2026, with GDP growth of around
2.5%, supported primarily by domestic demand.
Downside risks to the Danish outlook have increased, notably
related to the risk of renewed trade tensions with the US. This
could weigh on export growth directly and indirectly through
weaker investment activity and consumer confidence
stemming from higher uncertainty.
The housing market
The Danish housing market strengthened further in 2025.
House prices increased notably, supported by lower interest
rates, rising employment and a limited supply of homes for
sale. Over a longer period, a persistently low level of new
construction has contributed to upward pressure on prices,
particularly in the existing housing stock. This has been most
pronounced in Greater Copenhagen where housing supply
has not kept pace with population growth.
Housing market developments remain geographically uneven.
While prices of houses and flats increased significantly in
Copenhagen and the surrounding areas during 2025, price
growth was markedly more moderate in large parts of Jutland.
This underscores continued regional divergence in housing
market conditions. In parts of the country – particularly in
more peripheral areas - market conditions remain more
subdued, with limited price growth and, in some cases, a
higher number of sellers than buyers.
Looking ahead, we expect housing market momentum to
remain positive, albeit at a more moderate pace. House prices
are forecast to increase by around 5.3% in 2026, followed by
growth of approximately 3.6% in 2027. Further price increases
are also expected in the markets for owner-occupied flats and
holiday homes. Price trends will be supported by continued
strength in the labour market and rising household purchasing
power, although higher interest rates towards the end of the
forecast period may have a small dampening effect.
Interest rates
Monetary policy is currently characterised by a high degree of
uncertainty, driven primarily by geopolitical developments in
the Middle East and their impact on energy markets. While
inflation has generally eased compared to previous peaks, the
recent rise in energy prices has reintroduced upside risks,
complicating the outlook for central banks – and consequently
also the outlook for Danish mortgage rates.
Our baseline expectation is that both the Federal Reserve and
the European Central Bank (ECB) will keep policy rates
broadly unchanged through 2026. Underlying inflation
pressures appear contained, supported by moderate wage
growth and relatively subdued economic activity. However,
the risk of renewed inflation stemming from higher energy
costs remains a key concern, particularly in Europe and in
relation to short-term mortgage rates.
Financial markets have reacted swiftly to the geopolitical
tensions. Short-term interest rates have increased, reflecting