Nordea On Your Mind
Nordea On Your Mind: The euro in the Nordics 2.0
The Nordea On Your Mind team revisits the merits of the euro in the Nordics, which are currently split between the euro and floating currencies.
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Bli værende på denne siden | Fortsett til en lignende side på norskGet the latest insights on the economy, industries and emerging trends that can help your business tackle the challenges it faces in today’s market. We share the learnings and perspectives of leading experts and innovators in the Nordics, both from Nordea and beyond.
Nordea On Your Mind
The Nordea On Your Mind team revisits the merits of the euro in the Nordics, which are currently split between the euro and floating currencies.
Read moreEconomic Outlook
After several years of high growth, Danish economic activity has slowed down. The dampening is expected to be relatively mild and soon to be replaced by renewed progress during this year.
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Swedish household debt relative to income is falling for the first time since the mid-1990s – contributing to resilience in the long term, but raising questions about household spending and housing market trends in the near term.
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The trend in Denmark is opposite to that of many other countries where large public deficits have taken hold. The solid finances help to ensure stable, low interest rates in Denmark.
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In the next couple of years, activity in the Norwegian economy will be less affected by petroleum price changes than previously. But large energy shocks will impact price growth and thus Norges Bank’s interest rate decisions.
Read moreSustainable finance
2023 was another banner year for the Nordic sustainable bond market, with over USD 60 billion in sustainable issuance for the year and record volumes in three quarters.
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"Transition finance" has gone from being a bullet point in a list of key themes to being the overarching theme in sustainable finance, says Nordea Sustainable Finance Advisory's Jacob Michaelsen. He explains why and shares the main topics on the agenda in 2024.
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The prospects for the global economy are still relatively good despite significant monetary policy tightening. Inflation has fallen sharply, and central banks will likely start cutting rates this year. This increases the chances of a soft landing, but uncertainty is high.
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Slightly lower interest rates, continued high wage growth and low unemployment will gradually improve households’ purchasing power. We therefore foresee better times ahead for both the Norwegian economy and the housing market.
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Sweden will see weak economic growth in the near term. Inflation will likely normalise and interest rates go down this year, which will provide support and lower the risks of a deep recession. However, the interest rate level will stay higher than before the pandemic.
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Central banks will be reversing their monetary policies and start cutting rates in the coming months. The weak economic outlook and resultant declining price pressure trend are the biggest reasons for the turnaround.
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High interest rates have sent the Finnish economy into a recession. The outlook for the first half of the year is unfavourable for private consumption, construction and exports alike.
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