Transaction volumes grow in the Nordics
Even though the rest of Europe might be a year or so behind the UK, and open banking API calls are clearly not yet at the same levels, the figures are still eye-watering. In the Nordics, Sweden has the largest number of TPPs, reaching 26 Home regulated TPPs at the end of September 2020. Another 116 can passport in their services which makes the total a staggering 142.
When it comes to transaction volumes, Sweden also leads the way. Sweden is a strong fintech hub where innovation happens. We expect that by December of this year, 53.8m monthly API calls will be being made. For a bank with a 10% market share, that’s more than 179k calls per day! Looking ahead two years from now, to the end of December 2022 and, reaching a conservative 10% adoption rate by the end of the period, that figure is estimated to reach 214m calls per month which equates to 710k calls a day for a bank with a 10% market share.
Taking Denmark as another example and using the same 10% adoption rate, the numbers — although not at the same levels as Sweden — are still high. We estimate API calls to reach 30.5m by the end of this year and 124.4m by the end of December 2022.
It’s easy to see where this growth can come from. Norway has seen a dramatic change in TPP numbers in just a few weeks. Home regulated TPPs grew from two to six between August and September, and TPPs passporting in their services grew from 88 to 105 in the same period.
We see the Nordics as pioneers of open banking. Only the UK and Germany have more Home regulated TPPs than Sweden. Denmark and Finland join Sweden in the top 10, with the Nordics holistically making up 13% of all TPPs across the EEA.