Nordea Economic Outlook webinar: Navigating global trade turbulence
Join us for the release of the Nordea Economic Outlook on 21 May. Register for the webinar with our chief economist for an inside look at Nordea’s latest forecasts.
Capacity challenges ahead for Norway's construction sector?
Even with only two rate cuts, we expect housing prices to grow by nearly 10% in 2025. After declining sharply for two years, housing construction may finally benefit from some tailwinds. Yet, a weak NOK and higher construction activity in Europe could soon pose new challenges for the construction sector. Who will build all the new homes?
Economic growth in Norway picked up last year and is now back at normal levels. Unemployment has remained stable at a low level since last summer. Growth should increase further in the period ahead.
Trade policy will have multiple effects in Finland
The US has become the most important export market for Finland. This makes Finland quite sensitive to any trade barriers imposed by the US. In addition to direct tariffs, indirect effects such as counter-tariffs, foreign exchange rates and increased uncertainty will have an impact on Finland’s economy.
The Finnish economy has seen cautious growth, but the economic cycle remains weak. Consumers are still cautious, even though purchasing power has started to improve and interest rates have fallen.
The conditions are in place for a recovery in domestic demand – the main drivers are lower interest rates and stronger household purchasing power. Inflation remains low, and the Riksbank will likely cut its policy rate further.
The Danish economy is on a firm footing, and we expect it to continue to grow in 2025, supported by further central bank rate cuts and rising household purchasing power.
Despite the Danish economy's solid recovery, consumer confidence is at a low level, as households are increasingly worried about Denmark’s economic situation going forward. The question is whether this will put a spanner in the works for the expected consumption-driven recovery in 2025.
The global economic outlook for 2025 reflects a very high level of uncertainty, and economic developments could easily surprise in either direction. Our baseline story remains unchanged, and we expect monetary policy easing to support growth especially in the Euro area and China – and in both regions consumer spending could surprise to the upside.
Nordea's Chief Economist: Political risks have increased significantly
Global growth continues at a moderate pace. The US economy was boosted after the presidential election, while Europe is trying hard to catch up. Uncertainty is high and increasingly linked to political developments. Monetary policy rate cuts are coming to an end, and growth in the Nordic region will likely chiefly be driven by domestic demand in the coming year.
Ready for 2025? Join our Nordea Economic Outlook webinar
Get valuable insights from our Group Chief Economist Helge J. Pedersen when he presents a new Nordea Economic Outlook, with our latest analyses and projections for the Nordic and global economies.