Norwegian economic activity will pick up going forward, and unemployment will stay at a low level. Inflation will gradually decrease, but it will take years before it reaches the 2% target.
The global growth momentum has improved slightly since the beginning of this year thanks to China’s increased fiscal stimulus and declining inflation numbers in many western economies.
Nordea chief economist: Soft landing likely, but risks remain
The global economy has had a decent start to 2024, and a soft landing seems more likely. But strong labour markets place heavy demands on the calibration of monetary policy, and the neutral rate is probably higher than previously assumed. The new geopolitical reality still poses a high risk to the outlook for growth and inflation.
Population shift: Implications for Sweden's economy
Last year, Sweden saw the lowest population growth in more than 20 years. Much suggests that population growth will remain subdued in the coming years. This will impact the need for new homes, other investments as well as the labour market.
Swedish economic outlook: Searching for equilibrium
After several turbulent years the pieces of the puzzle are gradually falling into place for the Swedish economy. Households’ consumption pattern normalises, export companies’ production will balance with demand and inflation will stabilise at low levels.
How many rate cuts will we get over the next two to three years? Forecasts vary more than usual, mainly because of varying estimates of the normal interest rate. We expect fewer rate cuts and a higher normal interest rate than most.
We are living in an age of historic demographic changes. Changes that place great demands on innovation and reform in Western countries if prosperity is to be maintained, but also changes that lay the foundation for a completely new world order, writes Nordea Group Chief Economist Helge Pedersen.
Over the past year, the annual pace of inflation in Denmark has slowed much faster than in the Euro area. In 2024, this trend is expected to reverse, so that Danish consumer prices again will rise faster than in the Euro area.
High interest rates have sent the Finnish economy into a recession. Mortgage holders and the public sector are adapting their spending to respond to higher interest rates, which has weakened demand but will lead to more balanced finances.
Initial research suggests that using artificial intelligence can significantly improve productivity. Due to its high digital readiness, Finland is in a good position to leverage AI. After all, AI creates an opportunity for Finnish companies to get back on the productivity growth track.
In the intricate world of capital-intensive businesses, effective spending decisions can make or break success. Johan Trocmé from the Nordea On Your Mind team sat down with Oskar Hellström, CFO of the aluminium technology group Gränges, to gain insight into their approach to financial decision-making.