Get the latest insights on the economy, industries and emerging trends that can help your business tackle the challenges it faces in today’s market. We share the learnings and perspectives of leading experts and innovators in the Nordics, both from Nordea and beyond.
The overall impact of the Middle East conflict on activity in the Norwegian economy is likely to be limited. Even so, the outlook is somewhat weaker than in previous forecasts because of higher, not lower, interest rates.
The Finnish economy has finally returned to broad-based growth, with both private consumption and industrial output picking up. Growth is also beginning to support the labour market and public finances. However, higher energy prices and rising interest rates in the wake of the Middle East crisis are expected to weigh on economic activity later in the year.
Sweden is on a solid footing and can withstand several of the challenges arising from the war in the Middle East. A favourable circumstance is the low inflation rate this year. Uncertainty is high. A key factor will be how long the Strait of Hormuz remains closed.
The Middle East war and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz disrupt energy and supply chains and weaken confidence. We therefore downgrade our global growth forecast, while central banks face rising price pressures.
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