Follow our expert insights about how the markets and inflation develop in the Nordics and globally.
Economy
China started the year 2025 with robust GDP growth. Nordea Chief Economist Tuuli Koivu also observed slightly better sentiment during her trip to the country in March. However, the intensified trade war between the US and China is going to hurt the growth and CNY outlook in the coming months.
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Economy
During market turbulence, US government bonds tend to be a “safe haven.” But the past week showed something completely different. On 9 April, when Trump’s new tariffs were to take effect, investors sold off US government bonds. Nordea Senior Strategist Sara Midtgaard takes a closer look.
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Insights
Trump’s newest round of tariffs hit financial markets and added to downside risks to the economy. Plenty of uncertainties remain, and the USD sentiment has taken a beating. The ECB will likely cut again, while the Fed may find the outlook trickier, writes Nordea Chief Analyst Jan von Gerich.
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Markets and investment
There has been much focus on whether Trump could force the US trading partners into a so-called “Mar-a-Lago Accord” to weaken the dollar. Chief Strategist Lars Mouland reflects on what such a deal could entail.
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Economy
Denmark is navigating current global uncertainty from a position of economic strength, according to experts at Nordea’s recent Danish Economic and Government Debt Symposium. Can consumer confidence and household spending catch up with the country’s economic resilience?
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Economic Outlook
The US has become the most important export market for Finland. This makes Finland quite sensitive to any trade barriers imposed by the US. In addition to direct tariffs, indirect effects such as counter-tariffs, foreign exchange rates and increased uncertainty will have an impact on Finland’s economy.
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Economic Outlook
The Finnish economy has seen cautious growth, but the economic cycle remains weak. Consumers are still cautious, even though purchasing power has started to improve and interest rates have fallen.
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Economic Outlook
The global economic outlook for 2025 reflects a very high level of uncertainty, and economic developments could easily surprise in either direction. Our baseline story remains unchanged, and we expect monetary policy easing to support growth especially in the Euro area and China – and in both regions consumer spending could surprise to the upside.
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Corporate insights
What do Nordic corporate treasurers expect the world to look like in 2030? We set out to find the answer in our annual Treasury Survey for 2024.
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Economy
The crisis is taking its toll on the EU, which is lagging further and further behind the US and China in the great economic race. Now Mario Draghi has presented a plan that may save the situation.
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Economic Outlook
Economic data has been weaker in all the major economies during the summer and labour markets are weakening. This could encourage China to ease fiscal policy further, and the western central banks are expected to cut rates.
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Economic Outlook
The Finnish economy has underperformed the rest of the eurozone over the past two years. Private consumption has gone down in Finland, as higher interest rates have hit households hard. However, most of the gap to the rest of the eurozone is due to the sharp decrease in residential construction in Finland.
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