Follow the economy across the Nordic countries and economic changes worldwide.
Economy
Interest rates are being cut quickly at the moment, and the course is set towards neutral - although no one quite knows what that level is, writes Nordea Group Chief Economist Helge Pedersen.
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Economy
Our Nordea forecast implies a slight further weakening of NOK towards year-end and a somewhat stronger NOK next year. But if Trump becomes president, the rate cut cycle in the US could soon end, and the USD could strengthen further. We therefore see a clear risk of a weaker NOK than our current forecasts imply.
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Economy
An interesting US presidential election is drawing closer. While the result may not end up changing the medium-term outlook for the US economy significantly, the risks are real on many horizons.
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Economy
The crisis is taking its toll on the EU, which is lagging further and further behind the US and China in the great economic race. Now Mario Draghi has presented a plan that may save the situation.
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Economic Outlook
After some hectic years, the Danish economy is moving into a calmer period. Inflation is under control in both Denmark and the Euro area, boosting household purchasing power.
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Economic Outlook
Sweden's public finances are stable, which is and has been a strength – especially during the recent turbulent years with the pandemic, war and high inflation. Ahead of the next framework period, low government debt and an increased investment requirement open the door for a more expansionary fiscal policy.
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Economic Outlook
Thanks to high wage growth, lower inflation and a stable interest rate environment, household purchasing power is now increasing quite significantly in Norway. Economic growth will likely pick up and unemployment remain fairly stable going forward.
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Economic Outlook
Over the past ten years, the Danish labour market has undergone a remarkable development. The latest figures indicate that a soft landing has been achieved, with continued low unemployment at the same time as the balance between supply and demand for labour has improved.
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Economic Outlook
Households are still under pressure, due to the earlier uptick in inflation and higher interest rates. The situation is fragile, but with upcoming rate cuts, a significant decline in household consumption will be avoided.
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Economic Outlook
In the past decade, Norway’s relative global excellence has weakened. As a result of the drop in oil prices in 2014, Norwegian interest rates approximated the levels of our trading partners, and the NOK weakened from very strong levels. After the pandemic the fact that other central banks hiked rates more than Norway in order to curb inflation added fuel to the fire. Maybe it is boring that interest rate differentials and the NOK exchange rate are related, but maybe it is not that strange.
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Economic Outlook
Economic data has been weaker in all the major economies during the summer and labour markets are weakening. This could encourage China to ease fiscal policy further, and the western central banks are expected to cut rates.
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Economic Outlook
The modest growth that has long characterised the global economy continues. But much indicates that growth will increasingly be driven by Europe. There are prospects of rate cuts in most countries, but the persistently high inflation requires very careful timing and dosage of monetary policy easing.
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