Get the latest insights on the economy, industries and emerging trends that can help your business tackle the challenges it faces in today’s market. We share the learnings and perspectives of leading experts and innovators in the Nordics, both from Nordea and beyond.
Transition rules unlikely to soften impact from Basel IV
The Swedish Bankers’ Association’s Chief Economist Johan Hansing discusses the impact of the Basel IV global banking reforms on banks and corporate borrowers and what to expect from the transitional rollout.
Competition for labour and high inflation are pushing up wages in Norway, while the war in Ukraine intensifies the inflationary pressure. With an economy under pressure and rising price and wage growth, Norges Bank will continue its quarterly rate hikes until end-2023.
Chief economist: Norway's housing market rally is over
In the past 20 years, housing prices have more than tripled in Norway. With zero interest rates during the pandemic, the policy rate and thus rates on housing loans bottomed out. We will not see this interest-rate effect again.
The tight labour market, record-high demand for workers and recent inflation spike suggest that wage growth will be higher going forward. We revise up our wage forecast, and the Riksbank faces new challenges.
Russia’s attack against Ukraine will slow down economic growth in Finland this year. A strong labour market, the lifting of restrictions and the savings accumulated by households during the Covid pandemic will underpin growth in the service sector.
Danish public finances: A break with budget discipline?
The Danish Budget Act is about to be amended at the same time as the green transition and Danish defence spending put an increasing strain on public finances. Is this the beginning of a regime shift in public budget management?
Previously, there were fears of the Danish economy overheating, but now focus has shifted to the negative effects of the war in Ukraine, the high inflation level and the rapidly rising interest rates.
How Finland's economy is maintaining its competitiveness
Export prices in Finland have kept up with rapidly rising import prices, keeping the country’s terms of trade unchanged. Zero-emission electricity generation is becoming a source of competitive advantage in manufacturing, which supports investment growth.
The Swedish economy is currently stronger than it has been for many years. However, the economy is entering a phase of subdued growth as high inflation and rapid rate hikes are slowing activity.
Nordea chief economist: Record-high inflation will slow down economic activity
The war in Ukraine and new Covid-related lockdowns in China put the global economy under pressure. Inflation in the Western world has risen to its highest level since the 1980s.
The European Commission has made some changes to the implementation of Basel IV. However, the regulation will still be a gamechanger for both banks and corporate borrowers, according to Nordea On Your Mind.
The Russian assault on Ukraine, very high inflation and China’s lockdowns imply a high degree of uncertainty in the global economy and take the growth forecasts somewhat lower for 2022.